Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 223.634254 271.589559 332.653760 418.396117 539.704311 7.121547e+02 990.511167
2025-01-05 158.933199 209.240503 281.934730 401.487095 609.491422 9.980887e+02 1930.156435
2025-01-12 130.414276 180.794400 259.969150 405.805743 704.771184 1.421719e+03 4138.983296
2025-01-19 110.169141 158.015324 237.598446 396.538975 766.353294 1.869846e+03 8922.296349
2025-01-26 103.035878 153.687657 243.760967 442.608368 990.874394 3.288995e+03 57445.810198
2025-02-02 100.339684 155.829240 261.732879 523.325597 1413.759835 7.762839e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 90.453954 143.140593 247.128700 518.758072 1555.419812 1.222593e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 83.581156 134.813563 239.489154 529.651956 1790.510012 2.376214e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 77.857980 127.738227 232.885327 540.956058 2065.006055 5.696732e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 73.435794 122.529975 229.311777 560.606736 2453.817737 2.621865e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 68.923162 116.501470 222.539437 566.957751 2795.131404 6.236318e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 63.840677 108.689417 210.015026 547.840180 2902.588146 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 61.401248 106.684407 213.054581 596.015687 3983.257757 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 56.185345 98.198562 198.018798 565.796958 4082.472749 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 52.905905 93.522374 192.181621 572.666679 4860.419192 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 49.345812 87.806279 182.445328 557.513312 5253.743923 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 48.689387 88.478460 190.557997 633.544129 8905.414437 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 49.058035 91.542585 206.547946 771.374475 22576.505627 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 46.407550 87.122545 198.716780 763.421517 28050.019393 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 44.477275 84.236695 195.212627 782.419890 42693.313764 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 42.722185 81.591445 191.987775 802.242687 70615.848384 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 41.309016 79.643272 190.707730 836.964754 155355.435166 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 39.694064 77.027042 186.683353 848.257762 330645.505035 NaN NaN